Chafee in Dead Heat with
Whitehouse, While Whitehouse Leads Laffey in
A
statewide survey of 719
The
survey was conducted June 24-26, 2006, at
If
the general election is held today, 38 percent say they will vote for Sheldon
Whitehouse, 37 percent support Senator Chafee, and 25 percent are undecided
(compared to Chafee’s lead of 40 to 34 percent in February).
If
the Republican nominee is Mayor Laffey, Whitehouse is ahead by 55 to 25 percent
(up from the 44 to 29 percent Whitehouse had in February).
In
the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Whitehouse is the choice of 60 percent
of the 308 voters who indicated they were very likely to vote in the Democratic
primary, while 8 percent say they prefer Carl Sheeler, and 32 percent are
undecided. The margin of error in this
likely Democratic primary sample is plus or minus 5 percentage points.
Governor
Donald Carcieri has a lead of 44 to 39 percent over Democratic Lieutenant
Governor Charles Fogarty. This is down
from 46 to 35 percent in favor of the Governor in February. If the Republican nominee is Dennis Michaud,
Fogarty holds a 57 to 11 percent advantage.
In the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor, State
Senator Roberts leads Spencer Dickinson by 33 to 12 percent. Roberts holds an advantage of 35 to 12
percent over Republican Kernan King in the general election contest for
lieutenant governor, while 12 percent say they plan to vote for Cool Moose
party candidate Robert Healey and 41 percent are undecided. If the Republican nominee is Reginald
Centracchio, 29 percent say they prefer Roberts, 26 percent indicate they would
vote for Centracchio, 11 percent would support Healey, and 34 percent are
undecided.
Attorney-General Patrick Lynch is ahead of Republican
William Harsch by 55 to 23 percent in his re-election bid. In February, Lynch held an advantage of 59 to
18 percent.
In the Democratic primary for Secretary of State, North
Providence Mayor Ralph Mollis leads Guillaume de Ramel by 23 to 12 percent,
with 65 percent undecided. This is down
from Mollis’ 24 to 5 percent margin in February. If Mollis is the Democratic nominee, 30
percent say they would support him, 24 percent prefer Republican Sue Stenhouse,
and 46 percent are undecided. If DeRamel
is the Democratic nominee, 22 percent would support him, 26 percent Stenhouse,
and 52 percent are undecided.
Congressman Jim Langevin is ahead of Jennifer Lawless by
68 to 11 percent with the 131 voters who indicate they are very likely to vote
in the second district’s Democratic primary.
The margin of error in the second district Democratic primary sample is
plus or minus 7 percentage points. If
Langevin is the Democratic nominee, 60 percent say they will vote for him,
compared to 11 percent for Independent Rodney Driver, and 8 percent for
Republican Robert Tingle. If Lawless is
the Democratic nominee, 23 percent indicate they will vote for her, compared to
17 percent for Driver, and 12 percent for Tingle.
Congressman Patrick Kennedy leads GOP challenger Edmund
Leather by 57 to 22 percent, with 21 percent undecided.
Fifty-two percent say they oppose amending the state
constitution to allow a gambling casino in
When asked their thoughts about this casino, 74 percent claim it would result in people betting
money they can't afford to bet, 64 percent feel it would boost tourism in the
state, 59 percent believe it would create more gambling addicts, 58 percent it
would create meaningful jobs, 54 percent feel it would reduce revenues the
state gets from gaming at Lincoln Park and Newport Grand, 51 percent think it
would benefit the Rhode Island economy, 49 percent say it would increase crime
rates, 43 percent believe it would help reduce taxes, 42 percent think it would
raise the level of organized crime activity in the state, and 35 percent say it
would harm the hotel and entertainment industry in Providence.
Only
20 percent of state voters believe President George Bush is doing an excellent
or good job (dowm from 25 percent last September). Sixty-five percent of
When
asked about the job performance of state officials, 55 percent feel Carcieri is
doing a good job as governor (up from 52 percent in September). Fifty-two percent believe Fogarty is doing a
good job as lieutenant governor (up from 38 percent). Forty-eight percent think
Attorney General
Forty-two
percent believe the state is headed in the right direction, while 45 percent
feel it is headed on the wrong track. In
September, 2005, 43 percent thought
Further
information on the survey can be found online at www.InsidePolitics.org. For more information, contact Darrell M. West
at (401) 863-1163.
Survey
Questions and Responses
If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate were held
today, would you vote for: 8% Carl
Sheeler, 60% Sheldon Whitehouse, 32% don't know or no answer (N=308 likely
Democratic primary voters)
If the Democratic primary for U.S. Congress were held
today, would you vote for: 68% James
Langevin, 11% Jennifer Lawless, 21% don't know or no answer (N=131 likely
second congressional district Democratic primary voters)
If the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor were held today, would you vote for: 12% Spencer Dickinson, 33% Elizabeth Roberts,
55% don't know or no answer (N=308 likely Democratic primary voters)
If the Democratic primary for secretary of state were
held today, would you vote for: 23%
Ralph Mollis, 12% Guillaume de Ramel, 65% don't know or no answer (N=308 likely
Democratic primary voters)
If the U.S. Senate election were held today, would you
vote for: 37% Republican Lincoln Chafee,
38% Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse, 25% don't know or no answer
If the U.S. Senate election were held today, would you
vote for: 25% Republican Stephen Laffey,
55% Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse, 20% don't know or no answer
If the U.S. Congress election were held today, would you
vote for: 22% Republican Edmund Leather,
57% Democrat Patrick Kennedy, 21% don't know or no answer (N=373 first
congressional district voters)
If the U.S. Congress election were held today, would you
vote for: 11% Independent Rodney Driver,
60% Democrat James Langevin, 8% Republican Robert Tingle, 21% don't know or no
answer (N=338 second congressional district voters)
If the U.S. Congress election were held today, would you
vote for: 17% Independent Rodney Driver,
23% Democrat Jennifer Lawless, 12% Republican Robert Tingle, 48% don't know or
no answer (N=339 second congressional district voters)
If the governor’s election were held today, would you
vote for: 44% Republican Don Carcieri,
39% Democrat Charles Fogarty, 17% don't know or no answer
If the governor’s election were held today, would you
vote for: 11% Republican Dennis Michaud,
57% Democrat Charles Fogarty, 32% don't know or no answer
If the lieutenant governor’s election were held today,
would you vote for: 12% Republican
Kernan King, 35% Democrat Elizabeth Roberts, 12% Cool Moose Robert Healey, 41%
don't know or no answer
If the lieutenant governor’s election were held today,
would you vote for: 26% Republican
Reginald Centracchio, 29% Democrat Elizabeth Roberts, 11% Cool Moose Robert
Healey, 34% don't know or no answer
If the attorney-general’s election were held today,
would you vote for: 23% Republican
William Harsch, 55% Democrat Patrick Lynch, 22% don't know or no answer
If the secretary of state’s election were held today,
would you vote for: 24% Republican Sue
Stenhouse, 30% Democrat Ralph Mollis, 46% don't know or no answer
If the secretary of state’s election were held today, would
you vote for: 26% Republican Sue
Stenhouse, 22% Democrat Guillaume de Ramel, 52% don't know or no answer
How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as
president? 4% excellent, 16% good, 23% only fair, 54% poor, 3% don't know or no
answer
How would you rate the job Jack Reed is doing as
How would you rate the job Lincoln Chafee is doing as
U.S. Senator? 10% excellent, 41% good, 28% only fair, 15% poor, 6% don't know
or no answer
How would you rate the job Patrick Kennedy is doing as
U.S. Representative? 9% excellent, 36% good, 26% only fair, 22% poor, 7% don't
know or no answer
How would you rate the job Jim Langevin is doing as U.S.
Representative? 18% excellent, 47% good, 18% only fair, 5% poor, 12% don't know
or no answer
How would you rate the job Don Carcieri is doing as
governor? 18% excellent, 37% good, 24% only fair, 17% poor, 4% don't know or no
answer
How would you rate the job Charles Fogarty is doing as
lieutenant governor? 9% excellent, 43% good, 21% only fair, 5% poor, 22% don't
know or no answer
How would you rate the job
How would you rate the job Matt Brown is doing as
secretary of state? 2% excellent, 35% good, 26% only fair, 4% poor, 33% don't
know or no answer
How would you rate the job Paul Tavares is doing as
general treasurer? 8% excellent, 37% good, 18% only fair, 3% poor, 34% don't
know or no answer
How would you rate the job David Cicilline is doing as
mayor of
Generally speaking, would you say things in
Do you favor or oppose amending the state constitution
to allow a gambling casino in
Do you think there should be competitive bidding on the
right to operate a gambling casino in
Do you believe this gambling casino would:
a) benefit the
b) harm the hotel and entertainment industry
in
c) boost tourism in the state? 64% yes, 29%
no, 7% don't know or no answer
d) increase crime rates? 49% yes, 41% no, 10%
don't know or no answer
e) create meaningful jobs? 58% yes, 34% no,
8% don't know or no answer
f) result in people betting money they can't
afford to bet? 74% yes, 20% no, 6% don't know or no answer
g) help reduce taxes? 43% yes, 47% no, 10%
don't know or no answer
h) reduce revenues the state gets from gaming
at
i) create more gambling addicts? 59% yes, 34%
no, 7% don't know or no answer
j) raise the level of organized crime
activity in the state? 42% yes, 47% no, 11% don't know or no answer